Existing comment:
Projected US deaths are made on https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=cumulative-deaths&tab=trend . They stopped updating their projections for several weeks until February 6 and then stopped again so I'll stop looking at them. Their projections were clearly below actual levels. I'm showing a number of dates because I wanted to go back later and compare the actual numbers to the projections They were projecting on February 6 that COVID reported deaths would be 921,308 on March 1 and the figure was well over 950,000 by that date..
Note:
Reported deaths are the number of deaths officially reported as due to COVID-19.
Total deaths are the estimated number of deaths attributable to COVID-19, including unreported deaths.
Projected Deaths
As Of... | Type | Date Projection Was Made... | Actual Deaths
on As Of date |
|---|
| 12/29/2021 | 01/16/2022 | 02/06/2022 |
|---|
| 02/01/2022 | Reported | - | 869,962 | - | 887,393 |
|---|
| Total | - | 1,008,506 | - | 1,028,338 |
|---|
| 03/01/2022 | Reported | - | 884,691 | 921,308 | - |
|---|
| Total | - | 1,025,867 | 1,067,996 | - |
|---|
| 04/01/2022 | Reported | 970,243 | 886,628 | 930,126 | - |
|---|
| Total | 886,864 | 1,028,180 | 1,078,508 | - |
|---|
| 05/01/2022 | Reported | - | 886,864 | 933,191 | - |
|---|
| Total | - | 1,028,463 | 1,082,237 | - |
|---|
| 06/01/2022 | Reported | - | - | 934,575 | - |
|---|
| Total | - | - | 1,083,921 | - |
|---|
|